← The End Games Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 1
at The End Games Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.1%
avg ELO -4.2 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1507
· median 1507
· range 1507–1507
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1001
Q1 1262
Q3 1420
1507
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 60.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Wind Arcane | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -7.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
